Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 10.345051 11.944990 13.657693 15.621539 17.804942 20.151795 22.858789
2025-06-08 8.082594 10.123295 12.445960 15.265103 18.573136 22.310318 26.829043
2025-06-15 6.774614 9.088828 11.860673 15.383743 19.697824 24.762575 31.108679
2025-06-22 5.709620 8.156825 11.225941 15.288655 20.450040 26.710113 34.790321
2025-06-29 4.992125 7.547157 10.885330 15.463600 21.466165 28.949009 38.848722
2025-07-06 4.418452 7.042474 10.602716 15.644969 22.444377 31.127714 42.864706
2025-07-13 4.035864 6.747848 10.553932 16.099086 23.761486 33.751741 47.503420
2025-07-20 3.665499 6.421055 10.416453 16.396110 24.850423 36.087153 51.815863
2025-07-27 3.263262 5.995479 10.089916 16.384417 25.487035 37.814353 55.351231
2025-08-03 2.761738 5.352086 9.378309 15.751667 25.194993 38.241580 57.121608
2025-08-10 2.422026 4.930332 8.960987 15.511122 25.427678 39.370127 59.848792
2025-08-17 2.105954 4.509009 8.503317 15.167309 25.473551 40.214736 62.181871
2025-08-24 1.855493 4.175679 8.161528 14.981674 25.745267 41.391479 65.024500
2025-08-31 1.603606 3.806212 7.724223 14.607200 25.698935 42.090284 67.190088
2025-09-07 1.458832 3.623437 7.588640 14.708839 26.381582 43.865364 70.936852
2025-09-14 1.300732 3.392607 7.346376 14.611576 26.736968 45.153236 73.995623
2025-09-21 1.195759 3.258009 7.265077 14.777903 27.512068 47.085453 78.040006
2025-09-28 1.101967 3.134852 7.193191 14.951775 28.299136 49.050026 82.171161
2025-10-05 1.047612 3.092693 7.270427 15.389316 29.530814 51.725299 87.422090
2025-10-12 0.980531 3.012212 7.265559 15.675640 30.515853 54.037583 92.169856
2025-10-19 0.888688 2.859653 7.104207 15.664274 30.992965 55.559926 95.741667
2025-10-26 0.750661 2.570091 6.637385 15.053911 30.414584 55.385402 96.692454
2025-11-02 0.661497 2.390438 6.381358 14.821923 30.473794 56.220954 99.212974